TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Argentine Nacional B soccer match between Quilmes and Agropecuario. Bettors can speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie based on the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Quilmes vs Agropecuario professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the associated team wins within regular time, or if the match ends in a tie for the 'Tie' outcome. The event explicitly excludes extra time or penalty shootouts from determining resolution. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a fair and efficient market for predicting the result of the Quilmes vs Agropecuario match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Quilmes vs Agropecuario match as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or significant changes in player form, might also cause price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also play a role. Major news events or announcements related to either Quilmes or Agropecuario are likely to be quickly incorporated into the market price.