TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Quick Boys and Katwijk, focusing on determining whether either team wins or if the game ends in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will lead to a fair price resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Quick Boys vs Katwijk professional Tweede Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Quick Boys wins, the 'Quick Boys' market resolves to Yes. If Katwijk wins, the 'Katwijk' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts in determining outcomes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Quick Boys vs Katwijk match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The goal is to find contracts that you believe are mispriced relative to your own assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Quick Boys vs Katwijk match, as determined by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact traders’ perceptions of the Quick Boys vs Katwijk match outcome. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the teams involved will likely cause price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news, team updates, and public sentiment can help you understand potential catalysts for movement in this market and inform your trading decisions.