TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Queretaro and Cruz Azul. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the Liga MX league and follows standard soccer rules.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Queretaro vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative number of goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time—excluding extra time and penalty kicks—must exceed the respective threshold. All markets share the same foundational conditions regarding the timing and scope of goal counting, ensuring consistency across evaluations. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely, the price of that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than traditional sportsbook odds. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply varying levels of market participation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Queretaro vs Cruz Azul match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely number of goals scored.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Queretaro vs Cruz Azul match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match—including any own goals or goals scored during extra time, if applicable—will determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing football league or organization, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Queretaro or Cruz Azul would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could shift trader sentiment and alter the market price. Any significant event affecting the perceived scoring potential of either team could lead to price fluctuations.