TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

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$1,923,931,766

416,910

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40,107

events

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4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Queretaro vs Cruz Azul: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?

Volume:
$127,610

Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 10:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cruz Azul wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68,186
N/A
N/A
$40,826
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cruz Azul wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,992
N/A
N/A
$17,244
Settled
No
kalshi

Cruz Azul wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,517
N/A
N/A
$7,807
Settled
No
kalshi

Queretaro wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,296
N/A
N/A
$3,634
Settled
No
kalshi

Queretaro wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,619
N/A
N/A
$2,817
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Queretaro and Cruz Azul, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. Outcomes are determined solely by regular time scoring, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Queretaro versus Cruz Azul Liga MX match scheduled for October 25, 2026. Resolution occurs based on regular time scoring after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct primary rules define specific victory margins: Queretaro must win by more than 2.5 goals, Queretaro must win by more than 1.5 goals, Cruz Azul must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Cruz Azul must win by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the applicable rule if the corresponding condition is met; otherwise, it resolves 'No'. All outcomes are governed by the same temporal and procedural constraints, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated intellectual property.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Queretaro vs Cruz Azul match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how the market has perceived the likelihood of each result over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $89,541, and the total volume traded to date, which is $127,610. This provides insight into market activity and interest in this particular event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs and hedge against potential losses. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the crowd perceives the likelihood of various outcomes in the Queretaro vs Cruz Azul match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the potential result of the Queretaro vs Cruz Azul match.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Queretaro vs Cruz Azul match as officially recorded by sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions affecting the match could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.