TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valeriya Strakhova and Sofia Costoulas in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valeriya Strakhova' if Valeriya Strakhova advances against Sofia Costoulas. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Costoulas' if Sofia Costoulas advances against Valeriya Strakhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valeriya Strakhova and Sofia Costoulas in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valeriya Strakhova' if Valeriya Strakhova advances against Sofia Costoulas. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Costoulas' if Sofia Costoulas advances against Valeriya Strakhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. However, as the event approaches, the prediction market odds tend to converge with sportsbook odds, as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments. This market provides an alternative data point for evaluating the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Strakhova vs Costoulas match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. Conversely, if traders become less confident, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Strakhova vs Costoulas match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It's important to note that the official result is the sole determinant of resolution, and any disputes or challenges to the outcome will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can sometimes signal a change in market sentiment. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could shift the probabilities associated with this market.