TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 8:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Martina Colmegna in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Martina Colmegna. This market will resolve to 'Martina Colmegna' if Martina Colmegna advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Martina Colmegna in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Martina Colmegna. This market will resolve to 'Martina Colmegna' if Martina Colmegna advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the crowd perceives the probabilities compared to professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Maria vs Colmegna match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Queretaro tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Martina Colmegna. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tennis news outlets for the final result, which will trigger the market's settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player might also impact their perceived chances of winning. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, driven by social media or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements. Traders will be closely watching for any developments that could affect the outcome of the Maria vs Colmegna match.