TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 12:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Carlota Garibay in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Carlota Garibay. This market will resolve to 'Carlota Garibay' if Carlota Garibay advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Carlota Garibay in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Carlota Garibay. This market will resolve to 'Carlota Garibay' if Carlota Garibay advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets, where odds adjust rapidly to new information. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in accuracy, especially when a large number of informed traders participate in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point that represents the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Maria vs Garibay match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tatjana Maria versus Carlota Garibay match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand when this market is settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 2, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or commentary from tennis analysts, might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely lead to movement in this market, as traders adjust their positions accordingly.