TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Polona Hercog and Martina Capurro in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polona Hercog' if Polona Hercog advances against Martina Capurro. This market will resolve to 'Martina Capurro' if Martina Capurro advances against Polona Hercog. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Polona Hercog and Martina Capurro in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polona Hercog' if Polona Hercog advances against Martina Capurro. This market will resolve to 'Martina Capurro' if Martina Capurro advances against Polona Hercog. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the incentives of traders who are financially motivated to accurately predict the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's lifecycle or when significant news breaks. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly. Currently, the market indicates a strong expectation for a specific outcome, but this can change rapidly based on news or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Polona Hercog versus Martina Capurro match. Any official announcements regarding the match, including the final score and confirmation of the winner, will serve as the basis for determining the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to the match could cause the odds to shift. Strong performances by either player in preceding matches, or even changes in coaching strategies, might also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also be a catalyst, as could any controversies or rule changes affecting the competition. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements.