TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Queensland Bulls
- Kalshi
Queensland Bulls - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:03h:37m
$
This event tracks the outcome of a professional cricket match between two teams, determining which team secures a victory. The result depends solely on the official match conclusion, with specific conditions applied for unusual match endings. All outcomes are based on the governing body's official declarations.
The event determines the winner of the men's professional Sheffield Shield cricket match between Queensland Bulls and Victoria, scheduled for October 30, 2026. If either team wins the match as officially declared by the governing body, the corresponding market resolves accordingly. Should the match end in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, if the match has not started, all markets resolve to $0.50; if the match has begun and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves based on that result. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to identify potential value, but it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Queensland vs Victoria cricket match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and capitalizing on price movements. The current market reflects the aggregated views of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Queensland vs Victoria cricket match as reported by recognized sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is considered correct for the purposes of settling the market. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding matches or shifts in expert analysis could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants or groups could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the Queensland vs Victoria cricket match will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.