TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Queens Park Rangers FC and Derby County FC, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Queens Park Rangers FC" if Queens Park Rangers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Derby County FC" if Derby County FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Queens Park Rangers FC and Derby County FC, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Queens Park Rangers FC" if Queens Park Rangers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Derby County FC" if Derby County FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling shares in the prediction market and placing bets at a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. The price of a share representing a particular outcome (QPR or Derby scoring first) reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe QPR is likely to score first, the price of those shares will increase, and vice versa for Derby. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Queens Park Rangers versus Derby County match. Official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be addressed according to Polymarket’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either QPR or Derby could significantly shift the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts might also play a role. Monitoring these signals closely can help traders make informed decisions before Oct 14, 2026.