TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:03h:47m
$
This event group concerns a women's college basketball game between Queens (NC) Royals and Vanderbilt Commodores, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026. The markets ask whether either team will win the game, with Polymarket adding a no-result condition if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a specified date.
In the upcoming CWBB game between Queens (NC) Royals and Vanderbilt Commodores, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, while prediction markets allow traders to express their beliefs directly. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. The volume of $4,125 traded suggests significant interest in this event, and the implied probabilities may diverge from initial sportsbook lines due to information asymmetry or differing risk appetites among participants.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in user base, trading fees, and market design can all contribute to price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi. Each platform attracts a different set of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the specific rules and mechanisms for trading on each platform—such as margin requirements or order types—can influence price formation. The current difference in probabilities, with Polymarket at 2.0% and Kalshi at 99.0%, highlights these potential divergences in market dynamics.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Queens vs. Vanderbilt game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be determined by the official result reported by the relevant governing body. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 5, 2026. Any significant news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Public perception and media coverage also play a role, as increased attention can drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors impacting game play could also cause movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the event approaches.