TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between QPR and Swansea, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold during regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either QPR or Swansea wins the match, observed after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: QPR winning by more than 2.5 goals, QPR winning by more than 1.5 goals, Swansea winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Swansea winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. The resolution exclusively considers the official match result as determined by the governing league, with no affiliation or endorsement implied from Kalshi, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As a result, you might find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges closer to the event. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the QPR vs Swansea match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The final score and any relevant game statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions for either QPR or Swansea could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, particularly if they favor one team's playing style. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the match can impact trading volume and price movements. Unexpected results in other related matches could also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess their overall predictions.