TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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QPR vs Derby: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of QPR vs Derby?

Volume:
$17,780

QPR wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

QPR wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 4:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

QPR wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,642
N/A
N/A
$7,789
Settled
Yes
kalshi

QPR wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,691
N/A
N/A
$1,700
Settled
Yes
kalshi

QPR wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,026
N/A
N/A
$1,687
Settled
No
kalshi

Derby wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,059
N/A
N/A
$611
Settled
No
kalshi

QPR wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$763
N/A
N/A
$557
Settled
No
kalshi

Derby wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

QPR wins by more than 5.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between QPR and Derby, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals each team scores during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the QPR vs Derby professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, with resolution based solely on regular time results—specifically, the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and excluding extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct criteria determine resolution: QPR must win by more than 2.5 goals, QPR must win by more than 1.5 goals, Derby must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Derby must win by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met for the respective team and margin, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' No affiliation or endorsement by the Governing League or its associated entities is implied, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the QPR vs Derby match tracks the current price of the spread, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You’ll also find a price history chart displaying how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $17,633. Total volume for this market is $17,704. This information provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding the anticipated point difference in the game.

Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Kalshi, aims to reflect the true probability of the spread, potentially offering more favorable odds for informed bettors. However, it’s important to note that both sources can differ based on public perception, expert analysis, and real-time information flow.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the QPR vs Derby spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ predictions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe QPR will cover the spread, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of the event outcome, as determined by the collective wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the QPR vs Derby match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The final result will be clearly displayed on Kalshi.

Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 15, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either QPR or Derby would likely cause price movement. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on game day could also impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in sports news and analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the spread.