TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
QPR wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
QPR wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 18h:53m:49s
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between QPR and Burnley, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent. The result is determined after the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the QPR vs Burnley professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: QPR winning by more than 2.5 goals, QPR winning by more than 1.5 goals, Burnley winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Burnley winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions occur after the full 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases excluded from consideration. The market determines whether the winning team’s victory margin exceeds the specified goal thresholds, offering multiple pathways for resolution depending on the final score difference. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance their book, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – the prediction market can react more quickly and efficiently than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see divergences as the event approaches, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning buyers and sellers set the price based on their expectations. Contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the probability of a particular outcome. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective belief of all participants regarding the QPR vs Burnley match spread.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the QPR vs Burnley match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread – the difference in goals scored by each team – as officially recorded by the governing sports body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 per contract, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will receive 0.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either QPR or Burnley would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups shortly before the game, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to shifts in the market price as traders adjust their predictions.