TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:36 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Yunnan Yukun FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Qingdao Xihaian FC" if Qingdao Xihaian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Yunnan Yukun FC" if Yunnan Yukun FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Yunnan Yukun FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Qingdao Xihaian FC" if Qingdao Xihaian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Yunnan Yukun FC" if Yunnan Yukun FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it may indicate disagreement about the true likelihood of either team. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – in this case, either Qingdao or Yunnan scoring first. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand for these shares, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential first scorer.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Qingdao vs. Yunnan match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match’s events, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form for either Qingdao or Yunnan could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, even if not directly reflected in sportsbook odds, could sway opinions and drive trading activity, leading to shifts in the price of shares representing each team’s chances of scoring first.