TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 11 at 6:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 11 at 6:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qingdao vs. Dalian match, as reported by official sports authorities. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this information. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Qingdao or Dalian could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts, could also move the market. Major events affecting the broader sports landscape, or even general economic sentiment, may have a minor influence, but the most direct drivers will be team-specific developments related to the Qingdao vs. Dalian match.