TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:26 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Qingdao West Coast FC and Yunnan Yukun. The focus is on determining whether either team wins in regular time or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Qingdao West Coast FC vs Yunnan Yukun professional Chinese Super League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Qingdao West Coast FC wins, the 'Qingdao West Coast FC' market resolves to Yes. If Yunnan Yukun wins, the 'Yunnan Yukun' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The outcome excludes extra time or penalty shootouts, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market aggregates individual predictions. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it may indicate disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Qingdao vs Yunnan match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qingdao West Coast FC versus Yunnan Yukun match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The final score and official match results will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews, expert analysis, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself could cause noticeable price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.