TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Chinese Super League soccer match between two teams scheduled for October 17, 2026. The result will be determined based on the performance of the teams after the full regulation time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren Chinese Super League match scheduled for October 17, 2026: a win for Qingdao Hainiu, a win for Liaoning Tieren, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for extra time or penalty procedures.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer insights into where the market finds value relative to conventional betting options.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Qingdao Hainiu versus Liaoning Tieren match in the Chinese Super League. The platform will verify the final score against official league data to determine the winning outcome, or if the match ends in a draw. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, major developments in the Chinese Super League standings or the overall performance of either team leading up to the match could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.