TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Qingdao Hainiu and Beijing Guoan. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The market will resolve based on which team wins or if the match ends in a tie within the regular time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan professional Chinese Super League soccer match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Qingdao Hainiu wins, the 'Qingdao Hainiu' market resolves to Yes. If Beijing Guoan wins, the 'Beijing Guoan' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe Qingdao Hainiu will win, they will buy contracts predicting that outcome, driving up the price. Conversely, selling pressure on a particular outcome will lower its price.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Chinese Super League match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which outcome is considered correct for settlement purposes. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when and how this market will be finalized. The platform will then process the results and distribute payouts to contract holders based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, prompting others to adjust their positions. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market.