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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Polymarket
Qingdao Hainiu FC - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:04h:11m
$
In the upcoming match between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Qingdao Hainiu FC" if Qingdao Hainiu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Qingdao Hainiu FC" if Qingdao Hainiu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, the odds here can sometimes differ significantly from sportsbook lines, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in their accuracy, especially when there's significant public interest.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Qingdao or Shenzhen will score first. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher probability. Conversely, selling shares decreases the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express and aggregate their collective forecasts. The current top outcome has a chance percentage of 50.5%.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Qingdao Hainiu FC versus Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, key player injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, potentially favoring one team's playing style over another. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and any shifts in public opinion could contribute to changes in the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.