TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:53 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Liaoning Tieren FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Liaoning Tieren FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis. This dynamic process aims to converge on a probability that accurately reflects the collective expectation of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Qingdao Hainiu FC versus Liaoning Tieren FC match, specifically the exact score, will be used to determine the winning shares. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket. It's important to note that the resolution will depend on official sources and not on any individual's interpretation of the game's events.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movements in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Qingdao Hainiu FC or Liaoning Tieren FC could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game analysis from reputable sports commentators, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations as the market reacts to these signals.