TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:36 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Beijing Guoan FC, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Qingdao Hainiu FC" if Qingdao Hainiu FC score more goals than Beijing Guoan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Qingdao Hainiu FC and Beijing Guoan FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC score more goals than Qingdao Hainiu FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Beijing Guoan FC, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Qingdao Hainiu FC" if Qingdao Hainiu FC score more goals than Beijing Guoan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Qingdao Hainiu FC and Beijing Guoan FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC score more goals than Qingdao Hainiu FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like biases or promotional offers into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trading. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but trading volume in this market is more evenly distributed, it could indicate a disagreement between professional oddsmakers and the collective prediction of traders. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in Beijing Guoan FC winning the second half, the price of those shares increases, reflecting growing confidence in that result. Conversely, if traders sell shares, the price decreases. This dynamic process ensures the market price reflects the aggregate predictions of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the second half of the Qingdao Hainiu FC versus Beijing Guoan FC match. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics for either Qingdao Hainiu FC or Beijing Guoan FC could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half, such as early goals or red cards, will likely cause rapid adjustments in the market price as traders react to the unfolding situation. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.