TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on predicting the winner of a professional basketball game between the Qingdao Eagles and Zhejiang Lions, scheduled for October 9, 2026. The outcome depends solely on which team secures a victory in the officially recognized match. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will be handled according to specific fairness guidelines.
The event determines the winner of the men's professional Chinese Basketball Association game between the Qingdao Eagles and Zhejiang Lions, scheduled for October 9, 2026, at 7:30 AM EDT. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Qingdao Eagles vs Zhejiang Lions game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as uncertainty decreases and information solidifies.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qingdao Eagles vs Zhejiang Lions game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders will then receive or pay out funds based on their positions in this market.
Several signals could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Game-day weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, are also potential catalysts. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.