TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 9:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between the Qingdao Eagles and the Zhejiang Golden Bulls in China's CBA league. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for October 23, 2026. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to ensure a fair outcome.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between the Qingdao Eagles and Zhejiang Golden Bulls, scheduled for October 23, 2026, at 7:35 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of each team’s outcome, each having its own resolution condition based on the winning team. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there’s significant public information or a perceived edge. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise, access to information, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for identifying potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Qingdao Eagles versus Zhejiang Golden Bulls game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and produce a forecast that is often more accurate than traditional methods.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qingdao Eagles versus Zhejiang Golden Bulls CBA basketball game. The platform will verify the final score against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or team performance in preceding games could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, even shortly before the game, have the potential to cause substantial shifts in the odds. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could also indicate new information or a change in outlook, impacting the price of contracts in this market.