TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 29 at 7:35AM ET: If the Qingdao Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Qingdao Eagles". If the Beijing Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 29 at 7:35AM ET: If the Qingdao Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Qingdao Eagles". If the Beijing Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If prediction market participants strongly disagree with sportsbook lines, the odds here may diverge significantly. It’s common to see differences, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs, as the market aggregates information and adjusts accordingly. Examining these differences can sometimes reveal opportunities for arbitrage or highlight areas where the market believes sportsbooks have mispriced the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the CBA basketball matchup. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, constantly adjusting to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the Qingdao Eagles versus Beijing Ducks game, as reported by official league sources. Resolution will occur once the final score is confirmed and publicly available. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the outcome of the game and their positions in this market. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could cause a rapid shift in the odds. Additionally, public sentiment, reflected in news articles and social media discussions, can influence market participants. Finally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or game conditions could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market up until Nov 5, 2026.