TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Time left: 04d:09h:46m
Qatar vs Switzerland Winner?
$
$20
$50
$100
$500
Trade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 81¢ buys you 123 shares | Odds: 81% Total Payout: $123 | Net Profit: $23 Multiplier: 1.23x | ROI: 23% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
Trade on Predict
At 80¢ buys you 125 shares | Odds: 80% Total Payout: $125 | Net Profit: $25 Multiplier: 1.25x | ROI: 25% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
Trade on Polymarket
At 80¢ buys you 125 shares | Odds: 80% Total Payout: $125 | Net Profit: $25 Multiplier: 1.25x | ROI: 25% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
Trade on Limitless
At 79.5¢ buys you 126 shares | Odds: 80% Total Payout: $126 | Net Profit: $26 Multiplier: 1.26x | ROI: 26% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolutionIntro
This market tracks the outcome of the FIFA World Cup match between Qatar and Switzerland scheduled for June 13, 2026. Aggregating data from Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and Predict, the consensus probability that Switzerland wins the match is 76.5%. Resolution is determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as provided by FIFA. Watch for any weather disruptions or scheduling changes in the days leading up to the June 13 kickoff, as match cancellations or postponements could trigger different settlement outcomes across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and deadline handling differs across platforms. Limitless enforces a hard July 13, 2026 deadline with NO resolution for incomplete matches (except Draw=YES). Polymarket and Predict allow indefinite postponement and resolve Draw to YES if canceled. Kalshi provides no explicit guidance on cancellation or deadlines.Hero Tip:
Before trading, confirm the cancellation and postponement rules with each platform. On Limitless, be aware the market closes July 13 regardless of match status. On Polymarket and Predict, expect indefinite market duration if the match is postponed. Avoid Kalshi until cancellation protocol is clarified.Critical Divergence Points:
Limitless:
Hard deadline of July 13, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Win markets (Qatar/Switzerland) resolve NO if match not completed by deadline. Draw market resolves YES if no official result by deadline. Key Quote: 'If the club does not win or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 13, 2026, 19:00 UTC, the market will resolve to NO.'Polymarket:
No hard deadline; markets remain open if postponed until match completion. If match is canceled entirely with no makeup, Draw resolves YES and Win markets resolve NO. Key Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes [Draw] / No [Win].'Predict:
Identical to Polymarket: indefinite postponement allowed, Draw resolves YES on cancellation, Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Key Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes [Draw] / No [Win].'Kalshi:
No explicit cancellation, postponement, or deadline language provided. Assumes match will be completed and resolved based on 90-minute plus stoppage time outcome. Cancellation protocol is undefined.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Limitless differ from traditional sportsbooks in structure and incentive alignment. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order books, often reflecting sharper consensus on true probability. Qatar vs Switzerland odds on prediction markets tend to move faster in response to team news, injury reports, or lineup changes because traders profit directly from accuracy rather than volume. Comparing Kalshi and Limitless prices to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market liquidity and settlement certainty should factor into your decision.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Polymarket serve different user bases, operate under distinct regulatory frameworks, and host contracts with slightly different resolution criteria or timing windows. Kalshi may emphasize one aspect of the match outcome while Limitless frames it differently, creating micro-arbitrage opportunities. Liquidity concentration also varies; if one platform attracts more Qatar backers or Switzerland believers at a given moment, prices can diverge by or more. Cross-platform traders exploit these gaps, but friction costs and settlement risk mean small spreads often persist. Monitoring both venues gives you the clearest picture of true market consensus.
The Qatar vs Switzerland market resolves on Jun 14, 2026, following the conclusion of the match. Resolution is determined by the official final score and result as recorded by the governing soccer body. Markets typically settle within hours of the final whistle, once official confirmation is available. Traders should verify the exact resolution criteria on their chosen platform, as some contracts may include provisions for draws, extra time, or penalty shootouts depending on tournament rules. Check your platform's terms to understand how edge cases—such as match postponement or cancellation—would be handled.
Key catalysts for Qatar vs Switzerland odds include team roster announcements, confirmed injuries to star players, recent form and head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match press conferences. Weather conditions at the venue, home-field advantage factors, and any late-breaking news about player availability can shift market sentiment rapidly. Historical performance in similar matchups and betting syndicates' positioning may also influence price movement. Traders monitor social media, official team statements, and sports news outlets for hints of lineup surprises or strategic shifts. The closer to Jun 14, 2026, the more volatile prices typically become as uncertainty resolves and final team sheets are confirmed.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.