TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the combined score of two teams in a college football game exceeds various thresholds. The outcome depends on the actual points scored during the match, reflecting predictions about the game's overall scoring level.
All markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the Purdue vs Penn St. college football game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, exceed specified thresholds, ranging from over 32.5 points to over 74.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being wagered on.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, but as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, especially if significant money flows into this market. However, differences can persist due to varying information and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. Essentially, the market price is a real-time assessment of the likelihood of the final total points falling within a specific range, driven by supply and demand for these contracts.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Purdue vs Penn State football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the source for the resolution. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total points will be paid out according to the market’s rules, while those with losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Purdue or Penn State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact the anticipated scoring. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, can lead to rapid price fluctuations. Even broader public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or media coverage, could contribute to shifts in this market’s pricing as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.