TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
An upcoming college football game between two teams is set to take place on a scheduled date. The outcome of interest depends on whether the game goes beyond the regular playing time. The focus is on determining if additional periods of play will be required to conclude the match.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the Purdue vs Penn St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely buy and sell contracts based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of overtime, they can drive the price on Kalshi in the opposite direction. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as an event approaches, due to the continuous flow of information and diverse perspectives incorporated into the pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing the outcome of the Purdue vs Penn State game going to overtime. The current price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; more buyers drive the price up, indicating a higher perceived probability, while more sellers drive the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Purdue vs Penn State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the game officially goes into overtime according to the official game results. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to determine whether the contracts will pay out to buyers or sellers. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Purdue or Penn State teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also impact the perceived likelihood of a higher-scoring, potentially overtime-bound game. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, as the game day approaches, increased media coverage and analysis could drive volume and price fluctuations in this market.