TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
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2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Purdue and Penn State. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends purely on which team has more points at halftime.
The market resolves based on the first half performance of Purdue and Penn State in their college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. If Penn State scores more points than Purdue in the first half, the market resolves to Yes for Penn State. If Purdue scores more points than Penn State in the first half, the market resolves to Yes for Purdue. If both teams score an equal number of points in the first half, resulting in a tie, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. For any game postponements, if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official first half result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, which team will win the first half of the Purdue vs Penn State game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the first half of the Purdue vs Penn State game, as officially recorded by sports authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the first half. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Purdue or Penn State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also contribute to price fluctuations, though this market is driven by trader actions, not external opinions.