TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:52 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Purdue and Penn State. Outcomes depend on whether one team establishes a lead exceeding specific margins during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Purdue vs Penn St. college football game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If Penn St. wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points), the corresponding "Penn St. wins by over X points" market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Purdue wins by more than the designated margin (ranging from 2.5 to 14.5 points), the relevant "Purdue wins by over X points" market resolves to Yes. Markets remain active if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, with resolution based on the official first-half result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets resolve at a fair price. Only first-half points count toward outcomes, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first-half spread result from the Purdue vs Penn State football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the final score at halftime, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Purdue or Penn State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift traders' expectations. Public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere might also play a role in how this market evolves.