TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars
Volume:
$261,614
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons and IU Indy Jaguars scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 for Purdue Fort Wayne), and over/under totals (160.5 and 161.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology (resolves Yes regardless of which team wins) and lacks edge-case handling for postponement or cancellation. Polymarket provides complete, coherent resolution logic across all markets.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is fundamentally unresolvable as a price discovery tool because it guarantees Yes regardless of outcome. Trade Polymarket markets exclusively. Monitor NCAA.com for game status updates; if postponed, markets remain open; if canceled without makeup, Polymarket resolves 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winning team; spread resolves based on margin (Purdue -1.5 wins if margin >= 2); totals resolve on combined score (Over at 161+ for 160.5 line, 162+ for 161.5 line). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Source: NCAA.com.
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if IU Indy wins OR if Purdue Fort Wayne wins—a tautology that guarantees Yes resolution. No handling of postponement or cancellation. Quote: 'If IU Indy wins...then resolves to Yes. If Purdue Fort Wayne wins...then resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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