TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
America wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
America wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:06h:11m
$
The spread betting on the Pumas UNAM versus America match focuses on the margin of victory. Outcomes will depend on whether Pumas UNAM achieve a decisive win or if America dominate comfortably, influencing the spread results significantly.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Pumas UNAM or America wins the professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. One market requires Pumas UNAM to win by more than 2.5 goals, another by more than 1.5 goals, while the third and fourth require America to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals respectively. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals actively trading on the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can provide valuable insights, but it’s important to remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The spread is determined by the difference in prices between the two possible outcomes, indicating the market's expectation of the final margin.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Pumas UNAM vs America match, as determined by official game statistics. This means the market will settle based on the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the game, as reported by official sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their prediction aligned with the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Pumas UNAM or America would likely have a significant impact. Any news regarding team formations, tactical changes, or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, unexpected weather conditions or even public statements from key figures associated with the teams could introduce volatility. Changes in overall public perception of each team’s form and chances of winning will also be reflected in the trading activity.