TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:20 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Pumas de la UNAM and CF Cruz Azul, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pumas de la UNAM" if Pumas de la UNAM are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Cruz Azul" if CF Cruz Azul are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Pumas de la UNAM and CF Cruz Azul, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pumas de la UNAM" if Pumas de la UNAM are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Cruz Azul" if CF Cruz Azul are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. If a significant number of traders believe a team has a higher chance than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large influx of information or a change in public perception surrounding the game.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either the Pumas or Cruz Azul scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders acting as both market makers and informed speculators.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Pumas de la UNAM versus CF Cruz Azul match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential delays or postponements of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be determined by the official result of the game as reported by trusted sports news sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Pumas or Cruz Azul would likely cause significant price movement. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even pre-game analysis from reputable sports analysts and commentators could impact the market, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions. Any major developments leading up to the match on Oct 12, 2026 are likely to be reflected in the price of shares in this market.