TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:55 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga MX game between Pumas de la UNAM and CF Cruz Azul, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Liga MX game between Pumas de la UNAM and CF Cruz Azul, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of each exact score. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert analysis, this market’s prices are driven by the collective wisdom of traders, potentially revealing insights not captured by conventional bookmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact scores. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The market's efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the diversity of opinions among participants. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Pumas de la UNAM versus CF Cruz Azul match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the league organizers and verified against credible public sources. Any disputes regarding the official score will be handled according to the platform’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes.
Several factors could influence the prices in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team tactics or starting lineups could also move the market. Finally, any significant public statements from coaches or players might influence traders' perceptions and lead to price adjustments in this market.