TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Puerto Rico and the Cayman Islands. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game is considered high-scoring based on that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The markets collectively assess whether the total goals scored in the Puerto Rico vs Cayman Islands CONCACAF Nations League match scheduled for October 4, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals. All markets resolve based on the score after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with explicit exclusion of goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for any given market occurs only if the cumulative goals surpass the respective threshold. Each successive market represents a higher goal threshold, thereby creating a tiered structure where achieving a 'Yes' for a higher threshold inherently satisfies all lower thresholds. The rules uniformly clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential total goals scored. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Puerto Rico vs Cayman Islands match will be the determining factor. The final score will be sourced from official match data and used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract will pay out. It's important to note that the resolution is based on the official result, regardless of any preliminary reports or unofficial sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports on player form could also cause movement. Furthermore, as the match date approaches, any public analysis or expert opinions on the likely outcome could impact trading activity. A significant influx of volume right before the game is also a common occurrence, potentially driven by late-breaking information or a change in public perception.