TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Puerto Rico and the Cayman Islands, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time, but excluding any extra time or penalty kicks. The event evaluates different thresholds for how many goals separate the winning and losing teams.
The event resolves based on the goal differential between Puerto Rico and the Cayman Islands in their CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Puerto Rico winning by more than 2.5 goals, Puerto Rico winning by more than 1.5 goals, the Cayman Islands winning by more than 1.5 goals, and the Cayman Islands winning by more than 2.5 goals. The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. Only the net goal difference within these specified margins determines the event’s outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks, though this isn't always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the Puerto Rico vs Cayman Islands game.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Puerto Rico vs Cayman Islands game, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted source for sporting events, ensuring a fair and transparent process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the outcome is officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player availability, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can quickly shift the odds, especially as we get closer to Oct 5, 2026. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.