TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Puebla and Monterrey. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Puebla and Monterrey in their professional Liga MX soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the Liga MX, and all league-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, or reflect information not yet fully priced into one venue or the other.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to represent the collective forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, and vice-versa, creating a dynamic and responsive market for predicting the total goals in the Puebla vs Monterrey match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Puebla vs Monterrey match will be used to determine the winning contracts. This includes any goals scored during regulation time and any added time, as determined by the official match result. The resolution will be based on the official statistics published by the league or governing body overseeing the match, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Puebla or Monterrey would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches released before the match could influence predictions. Even public perception, based on pre-match analysis and punditry, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.