TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Liga MX encounter between Puebla and Monterrey on October 21, 2026, this event determines if each team scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with the exclusion of goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Puebla and Monterrey both score a goal in the Puebla vs Monterrey Liga MX match originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by trader sentiment. If a significant number of people believe both teams will score, the 'Yes' price will fall, indicating a higher probability than a sportsbook might initially offer. Conversely, if traders are skeptical, the 'No' price will decrease. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of volume has been traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people want to buy 'Yes' contracts, the price goes up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market is constantly updating its prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Puebla and Monterrey score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the 'Yes' outcome prevails; if either team fails to score, the 'No' outcome prevails. The final result will be determined based on official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Puebla or Monterrey would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any public statements from coaches or players regarding their offensive strategies might influence how traders assess the likelihood of both teams finding the net.