TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Monterrey will win the Puebla vs Monterrey Liga MX soccer game. Currently, Kalshi gives Monterrey a 96.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 3.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported for the fixture. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve to Yes or No depending on the result following the full 90 minutes of play on October 21, 2026, with final resolution occurring by October 22, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the designated Liga MX match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team or a tied result. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all intellectual property remains with the respective rights holders.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd diverges from expert opinion regarding the Puebla vs Monterrey match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Puebla vs Monterrey match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the results against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 22, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable or significant tactical shifts could trigger substantial price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, may also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the aggregated decisions of individual traders assessing the Puebla vs Monterrey match.