TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Puebla vs Leon
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What is the result of Puebla vs Leon?

Volume:
$1,867,962

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 10:56 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$440,230
N/A
N/A
$215,420
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leon

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$823,604
N/A
N/A
$371,396
Settled
No
kalshi

Puebla

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$604,128
N/A
N/A
$304,638
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Leon will win the Puebla vs Leon Liga MX soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Leon a 64.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 25.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve following the completion of the game on the estimated resolution date of 2026-10-10.

Kalshi

If Puebla wins the Puebla vs Leon professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Leon wins the Puebla vs Leon professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Puebla vs Leon professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Puebla vs Leon match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,867,962, with $1,180,249 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how the crowd is assessing the likely result of the match, offering insight beyond traditional analysis.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who have skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it may suggest an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the Puebla vs Leon match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly posting bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective forecast. The current price indicates what it costs to buy a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs, and conversely, what you would receive for selling such a contract. This dynamic pricing mechanism makes Kalshi a unique source of forward-looking information.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Puebla vs Leon match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed of any potential factors that could influence the final result of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on match day, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could also play a role. Furthermore, any major upsets in related matches or leagues might influence how traders assess the relative strengths of Puebla and Leon, leading to price adjustments in this market. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential shifts in the odds.