TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:36 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between PSM Makassar and Madura United, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "PSM Makassar" if PSM Makassar are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Madura United" if Madura United are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between PSM Makassar and Madura United, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "PSM Makassar" if PSM Makassar are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Madura United" if Madura United are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's lifecycle or when significant news breaks. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or simply highlight varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and reduces the implied probability. This dynamic process ensures that the market price reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the PSM Makassar vs. Madura United match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available data and established sporting regulations. The market will then be settled accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or tactical changes for either PSM Makassar or Madura United could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or changes in the venue could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' form and potential performance could drive trading volume and alter the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements before Oct 31, 2026.