TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Kalshi
PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:18h:54m
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between PSG and Troyes, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The event reflects competitive performance and strategic gameplay within the match's standard time.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the PSG vs Troyes Ligue 1 match scheduled for November 7, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded. If PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Troyes wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes. Each rule specifies a distinct threshold for victory margins, allowing for multiple potential resolutions depending on the match's final score. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional offers, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the collective biases of bettors versus prediction market participants. It’s common to see this market adjust more quickly to new information, as traders can react instantly to developments affecting the game.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the PSG vs Troyes match, specifically the spread. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market and any associated payouts.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either PSG or Troyes would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift sentiment. News regarding tactical approaches or starting lineups could also cause fluctuations. Finally, any major external events impacting the game, like severe weather conditions, could also move the market as traders reassess the probabilities.