TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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PSG vs Lyon: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of PSG vs Lyon?

Volume:
$548,952

PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 5:22 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$386,923
N/A
N/A
$139,982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104,290
N/A
N/A
$56,337
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,852
N/A
N/A
$25,751
Settled
No
kalshi

PSG wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,715
N/A
N/A
$12,738
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,171
N/A
N/A
$6,171
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between PSG and Lyon, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the PSG vs Lyon Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, each defined by a specific goal differential threshold for either team to win by. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. If PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not more than 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Lyon wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Lyon wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Only one of these markets can resolve to Yes, as each represents a distinct range of victory margins. The governing body’s official result determines all resolutions, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the PSG vs Lyon match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing the likelihood of different outcomes in this contest. Currently, the total volume traded is $548,952, with $385,239 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are assessing the potential results of this football match, offering insight beyond traditional sportsbooks or polls.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows traders to express their own informed opinions. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – the prediction market odds can shift more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate forecast. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event like the PSG vs Lyon match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly updating based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the potential results of the PSG vs Lyon match.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the PSG vs Lyon match, specifically the goal difference. The final score will be verified against credible public sources to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 27, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either PSG or Lyon would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising loss in a previous match, could also influence trader sentiment. Major news regarding team tactics or managerial decisions might also move the market. Even public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market for the PSG vs Lyon match.