TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming Ligue 1 soccer match between PSG and Le Mans. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the final count of goals after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the PSG vs Le Mans professional Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time, penalty kicks, or any post-regulation gameplay do not count toward the goal total for resolution purposes. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of experts, while this market benefits from the input of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the PSG vs Le Mans match will be the determining factor. Official match statistics from a recognized sports data provider will be used to establish the final result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either PSG or Le Mans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or kickoff time, could also trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities as they arise.