TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Paris Saint-Germain will win their Champions League soccer game against Barcelona. Currently, Kalshi gives PSG a 57.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 21.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the PSG vs Barcelona game. Keep a close watch on the starting lineups announced on October 20, 2026, as these will provide key insight into each team’s strategy for the match.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the PSG vs Barcelona Champions League match scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for PSG or Barcelona markets occurs only if that team wins within regular time; a 'Yes' for the Tie market occurs if the match concludes in a draw. All markets are void if the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours of the original date, at which point a fair price resolution will be applied. The outcome excludes extra time and penalty kicks, focusing solely on the result as it stands at the end of regulation time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and more traders participate.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the PSG vs Barcelona match, as declared by the governing football association. The final score and any official rulings will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either PSG or Barcelona would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches affecting team motivation or league standings could also play a role, as could major news events impacting the teams or the sport generally.