TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Seattle: 5+ wins in first 8 weeks
- Kalshi
Seattle: 5+ wins in first 8 weeks - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Time left: 07d:16h:57m
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This set of markets tracks the performance of individual NFL teams during the first eight weeks of the season, focusing on cumulative win thresholds. Each market corresponds to a specific team and a minimum number of wins required over this period. The outcomes reflect whether the team meets or exceeds the specified win count within the defined timeframe.
All markets resolve based on the number of games won by the specified NFL team in the first eight weeks of the regular season. Wins are counted only from games scheduled within weeks 1 through 8. If any game in this timeframe is postponed, the market remains open until the game is played, ensuring resolution reflects the actual performance during the specified period. Each market has a distinct threshold for resolution, ranging from one win up to eight wins, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the team achieves at least the specified number of wins. The governing league's official records determine the final win counts, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook, incorporating a wider range of trader insights and real-time data. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and analytical models, this market lets participants bet directly on their own assessments, sometimes showing tighter spreads or different favorites.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds for this market by placing bids and offers based on their expectations for each team's performance over the first eight weeks. The current top outcome has a chance of 67.0%, with volume of $118,437. Prices adjust continuously as new information emerges, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official win-loss records of each team after the first eight weeks of the season, and will be settled based on publicly available league data.