TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Pro Football last team to win a game
kalshi

Which team will win last?

Volume:
$73,744

Los Angeles C

 - Kalshi

Los Angeles C - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 5:07 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Los Angeles C

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,687
N/A
N/A
$9,406
2mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,203
N/A
N/A
$8,003
2mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Tennessee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,867
N/A
N/A
$11,947
2mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Miami

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,924
N/A
N/A
$7,795
2mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,811
N/A
N/A
$6,715
2mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Indianapolis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
2mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Washington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,252
N/A
N/A
$1,252
2mo 1w 2d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

These markets focus on determining which NFL team extends its winless streak the longest into the 2026-27 regular season. The outcome hinges on the relative timing of each team's first victory, with special provisions for teams finishing the entire season without a win.

Kalshi

All markets share identical rules determining which team remains winless the longest during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Victory is measured by the NFL week in which a team records its first win, not the specific date or time. Ties—where multiple teams achieve their first win in the same NFL week—are resolved by splitting Yes payouts equally among tied teams, with No positions receiving the remainder. Any team finishing the entire season without a win automatically ranks last, and if multiple teams share this fate, they are considered tied. Payouts for tied Yes outcomes are divided equally, with No positions receiving the balance of the wagered amount.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for the last NFL team to win. While many analysts focus on preseason favorites or teams with strong recent performance, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are constantly updating their beliefs based on injuries, trades, and game results. It’s common to see discrepancies between expert opinions and the market’s implied probabilities, particularly as the season progresses and unexpected events unfold. This difference highlights the market’s ability to incorporate new information more rapidly than traditional forecasting methods.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will be the last to win. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that team being the last to win. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at different price levels, providing insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome.

This market resolves around Jan 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by identifying the last team to win a regular season game in the 2026-27 NFL season. The resolution will be based on official NFL game results and standings, as reported by authoritative sports news sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these publicly available records to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Numerous signals and events could significantly move this market between now and its resolution. Major player injuries, unexpected trades, coaching changes, and team performance fluctuations will all influence trader sentiment and contract prices. A team experiencing a losing streak, even if initially favored, could see its price decline sharply. Conversely, a surprising winning streak by an underdog could drive up its price. Late-season games with playoff implications will likely generate increased trading volume and price volatility, as traders react to the latest developments and adjust their predictions.