TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 3:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns). Only games designated by the NFL as Week 6 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns). Only games designated by the NFL as Week 6 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction markets like this one often reflect information not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing for real-time adjustments based on news, injuries, and changing perceptions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentives of participants; sportsbooks aim to profit from margins, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see prediction market odds move faster than sportsbook odds in response to new information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular player winning the 2026-27 NFL scrimmage touchdown race. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that player leading the league. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely outcome. The market is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders setting the odds based on their own research and analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official NFL statistics for scrimmage touchdowns scored during the 2026-27 regular season. The player with the most scrimmage touchdowns at the end of the regular season will be declared the winner of this market. Any ties will be resolved according to the official NFL tie-breaking procedures, as documented by the league.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major player injuries to leading contenders would undoubtedly shift probabilities. Significant changes in team offensive schemes or quarterback play could also impact a player’s scoring potential. Unexpected breakout performances from lesser-known players could also cause the market to re-evaluate their chances. Finally, any news regarding player trades or suspensions could lead to substantial movements in the odds. Monitoring these developments will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.