TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 1:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 6 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 6 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player’s likelihood of winning the 2026-27 NFL passing touchdowns race. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that player leading the league. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders enter the market, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time evaluation of each player's chances.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for the 2026-27 regular season are finalized and the league leader in passing touchdowns is verified against credible public reporting. The player with the most passing touchdowns at the end of the regular season will be declared the winner of this market. Any ties will be resolved according to the NFL’s tie-breaking procedures, which will be reflected in the market’s final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are always a major catalyst, as the absence of a key quarterback can dramatically shift the odds. Strong or poor performances during the season, particularly in nationally televised games, will also influence trading activity. Major trades involving quarterbacks could also cause substantial price movements. Finally, any news regarding coaching changes or offensive scheme adjustments could affect a player’s projected passing volume and, consequently, their position in this market.