TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 5 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing touchdowns in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 5 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing touchdowns in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and public perception, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of factors and adjust more quickly to news and developments than traditional betting venues. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular player winning the rushing yards title. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that player being the leader. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a player, the higher their price rises, and vice versa, reflecting the collective forecast of the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures the market is constantly updating to incorporate new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for the 2026-27 regular season are finalized and the league leader in rushing yards is verified against credible public reporting. The player with the most rushing yards at the end of the regular season will be declared the winner of this market. Any ties will be resolved according to the NFL’s official tie-breaking procedures, as reported by official sources.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injuries to key running backs are always a major catalyst, as they instantly alter the landscape of potential contenders. Preseason performance and coaching decisions regarding running back usage will also be closely watched. Unexpected breakout performances from lesser-known players could also drive significant shifts in the odds. Finally, any news regarding team offensive schemes or changes in defensive strategies that might affect rushing yardage totals could influence trading activity in this market.